Ford feelin' the heat!
According to the previously mentioned "Draft Lincoln Davis" blog, they've already made the National Journal Hotline. Nashville has been buzzing with speculation over who would best beat Lincoln Davis (it is generally assumed that anybody but Corker could beat Ford).
Right now, the general consensus is Van would be the obvious choice as he is stronger statewide than the other candidates - as the real polling shows- and can beat Davis in his own district. Ed is counting on three time candidate Janice Bowling to pick up votes there, even though she was unable to convince 4th district voters she was a better option and got fewer votes than the Republicans above and below her on the ticket. Lincoln would beat Ed handily.
Corker might be able to squeak by in this scenario as the liberals would be less likely to vote for Davis than they would Ford and would need somebody to vote for.
If Davis does join the race, our Republican nominee may have a serious fight on their hands.
This scenario brings up the interesting prospect of finding a good Republican candidate for an open seat. There are a few names circulating about and nobody thinks Janice would pass up yet another shot. After endorsing Ed, Janice can kiss quite a bit of entrenched support goodbye. While I understand it is the state party's fault, the NRCC's fault, George W. Bush's fault, Van Hilleary's fault and probably God's fault that Janice could not convince a sufficient number of people to support her, many Republicans in the 4th District will likely decide to go with somebody that may have what it takes to garner the required support. Who that will be is a very good question.
Right now, the general consensus is Van would be the obvious choice as he is stronger statewide than the other candidates - as the real polling shows- and can beat Davis in his own district. Ed is counting on three time candidate Janice Bowling to pick up votes there, even though she was unable to convince 4th district voters she was a better option and got fewer votes than the Republicans above and below her on the ticket. Lincoln would beat Ed handily.
Corker might be able to squeak by in this scenario as the liberals would be less likely to vote for Davis than they would Ford and would need somebody to vote for.
If Davis does join the race, our Republican nominee may have a serious fight on their hands.
This scenario brings up the interesting prospect of finding a good Republican candidate for an open seat. There are a few names circulating about and nobody thinks Janice would pass up yet another shot. After endorsing Ed, Janice can kiss quite a bit of entrenched support goodbye. While I understand it is the state party's fault, the NRCC's fault, George W. Bush's fault, Van Hilleary's fault and probably God's fault that Janice could not convince a sufficient number of people to support her, many Republicans in the 4th District will likely decide to go with somebody that may have what it takes to garner the required support. Who that will be is a very good question.
posted by Chrystal at 3:30 PM
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